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UFC on FOX 27 Odds: Souza vs. Brunson 2 Prediction

The following UFC event — UFC on Fox 27 — goes down this Saturday (Jan. 27th) and comes with a main-event tip between Ronaldo”Jacare” Souza and Derek Brunson. This is actually the second time both of these middleweights will face off, with Souza winning through knockout in their first go around in 2012. However, time is a funny thing, and six years later, it is Brunson riding the tide of momentum while Souza regroups after a catastrophic loss that cost him a shot in the UFC middleweight title.
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Even though this isn’t the tastiest primary class the UFC has ever served, it is a captivating contrast in styles, and each MMA event, whatever the hype, creates potential betting opportunities. Where is the wise money going for Souza vs Brunson 2?
Stay tuned for a broader look at the card at Best Bets for UFC on Fox 27 this Thursday.
Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza (-160) vs. Derek Brunson (+135)
Jacare Souza fighting in Strikeforce.
Jacare Souza combating in Strikeforce. Photo by LowLight (YouTube) [CC License].
This is your classic battle of fashions. Ronaldo Souza (24-5, 17 admissions ) is one of the very best jiu-jitsu practitioners to ever step foot into a UFC Octagon while Derek Brunson (18-5, 10 KOs) loves to put people to sleep with his powerful fists.
Initially these two combatants met was back in 2012 under the old Strikeforce bannerand it was really Souza who managed to put Brunson to sleep with a quick hook, one of three career knockouts for the Brazilian.
Through GIPHY
Six years after, Brunson, a former Division II All-American wrestler (and cheerleader!) , has an opportunity for revenge.
His opponent is among the most feared grapplers around the planet and has stopped 58-percent of his own fights via submission. As he showed in the first matchup, he’s not too shabby in casting leather . He lands a decent 2.28 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44.1-percent.
Souza suffered a catastrophic loss to Robert Whittaker through head kick at his final fight (April 2017), but he’s also won 10 of his last 12 and has never lost back-to-back fights in his career. A win on Saturday would put Souza’s name back to middleweight title film, and time is of the essence for its 38-year-old.
At 34, Derek Brunson’s own career clock is getting late. He rebounded from back-to-back losses to Whittaker and Anderson Silva with KO wins over Dan Kelly (June 2017) and Lyoto Machida (October 2017), increasing up the middleweight positions in the process. Knocking guys out isn’t anything new for its hard-hitting middleweight, who averages 3.2 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 32.1-percent. He has won 61-percent of his struggles via KO and has generated knockouts in each of his past six victories. Interestingly, he’s never been filed in his professional career.
The contrasting styles make this a very intriguing battle for MMA purists. Normally, it is smart to lean towards the high level grappler within the energy puncher, but Souza’s age coupled with his very last performance suggest a possible Brunson upset. Search for the American to use his speed, power, and five-inch reach advantage (77??? vs 72???) to try to end things early, while utilizing his elite wrestling to keep the fight standing.
Right now, Brunson is listed at +135 on It’s a fantastic value bet worth getting now.

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