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NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 fast 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win in the most current 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix chances after a solid start to his season that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you check at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and current results into account.

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. Plus it is off to a powerful start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its own projected top . Is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events at places like ISM Raceway have been in his blood. His version has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could tell you that the version is high on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He is a goal for anybody searching for a payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and went on to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in one of this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place finish at Homestead. He will also come armed into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar vehicle setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix chooses from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway and the top Vegas favourite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the package consistently at this particular track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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