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Fantasy Update: Last-minute lineup, props advice for Texas

Hendrick Motorsports’ Jimmie Johnson will start from the pole position for Sunday’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 (3 p.m. ET on FOX, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

Does the seven-time winner merit a spot in your lineup? We’ve dissected the amounts to offer a suggested lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live thought as you make roster decisions.
PLAY NOW: Set your lineup | How the game works | Ideas to place your lineup
Remember that the garage locks at the conclusion of Stage 2. After the final stage begins, your roster is secured in.
RJ Kraft’s Fantasy Live lineup for race day at Texas:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Joey Logano
3. Ryan Blaney
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Chase Elliott
Garage: Kurt Busch
Going to the back: Alex Bowman (backup car), Ryan Newman (failed pre-race inspection double )
RELATED: Odds for Texas | 10-lap averages from Texas | Podcast: Fantasy Fastlane
Analysis: The prosperity of names starting outside the top 10 on Sunday makes this a bit more complicated than previous weeks. Can you risk the use? Who’s well worth saving? It is a delicate balance where owners have to evaluate risk vs. reward.
I am rolling with half of my first lineup. Logano was strong with this particular race bundle — top-two finishes in Las Vegas and Fontana. Blaney had a strong 10-lap average, he’s a hot streak with three top-five finishes in a row and has three consecutive top-six finishes at the repaved Texas track. Even though he qualified 30th, I’m sticking with Kurt Busch but putting him in my own garage. I like his current Texas results a whole lot — four straight top 10s, like where I am on his usage and I also like his results using this package. He qualified 25th or worse in Las Vegas and Fontana but scored just two top-six finishes and an average of 33.0 points in these races. An additional plus of rostering Kurt: He’s not a particular popular drama now based on ownership.
The additions to my lineup begin with the pole sitter Jimmie Johnson. Do I feel comfortable with this? Not entirely based on the 2019 body of work thus far, but I haven’t used him yet, I figure he should be in a position to receive some stage points and he’s been fast all weekend emphasized by his topping the 10-lap board in final practice. I putting Keselowski in my lineup as I go all on Penske without a real surprise of a single Steve Letarte (why check one when you can assess all three). He’d the fourth-best 10-lap average in final clinic and again, Penske has this bundle dialed in
Which explains why I am quite bullish on this team.
My last place was between Elliott, Kyle Larson, Daniel Suarez and Denny Hamlin. Larson has the worst starting spot of the four but had the very best 10-lap average along with a powerful 15-lap average too (h/t @MikeJoy500). Suarez qualified well, but I already feel like I am taking a risk with”Seven-Time.” Hamlin has been better than all four using this package, but he is entire Texas body of work is not great, so that leaves me with Elliott. I enjoy the starting spot and the history he has had at Texas — a fairly constant top-10 automobile here, so he gets the nod.
Because I’m all in on Penske, I’ll Be keeping the 2018 Big 3 trio of Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. on the sidelines as a tradeoff. Do not need to get stuck playing among those boys if they’re having only an average day. Busch is so good at Bristol and Richmond that he will be in my lineup in the coming months, so I believe we haven’t seen the 4 group’s best yet and Truex has several good tracks coming up in another month — Richmond, Dover and Kansas.

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