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Best Bets for UFC 219: Weekly Wagering Deep Dive

UFC 219 is set to take place this Saturday night (Dec. 30) at Las Vegas, Nevada, and let us just say it doesn’t scream”quality” like preceding end-of-year UFC cards.
The UFC stacks its card of this year from top to base. Rather, in 2017, we now get a major event between Cris Cyborg and Holly Holm. While it has the capability to be a great fight, it doesn’t necessarily scream”purchase this pay-per-view!”
This is also a very hard card to bet on as there are not a lot of fights which it is possible to find a strong read on. Many of the favorites, like Cyborg and Khabib Nurmagomedov, deserve to become overpowering favorites, yet could also easily get merked with their opponents. Danger lurks.
That said, we need to generate some plays. So let us do the best we can to come across some golden underdogs, a few worthy props, and a lucrative parlay. Also checking out my Best Bets for UFC Futures from last week, in which I proposed a couple of’puppies (Carla Esparza and Neil Magny) who hold some value.
Golden Underdogs
Middleweight: Marvin Vettori (-222) vs. Omari Akhmedov (+187)
At first glance, this moneyline in BetOnline seems perfectly acceptable, but if you have a closer look at this preliminary matchup, it is possible to get some solid reasons to take the puppy in Omari”The Wolverine” Akhmedov (17-4).
Even though Marvin Vettori (12-3) is a bigger fighter who loves to throw down, averaging 3.13 significant strikes landed per minute, he does not have enough power to take Akhmedov out via (T)KO, so this battle could end up being a grappling affair. While Akhmedov has revealed previously that he has some power in his own hands (seven wins by knockout and two”Fight of the Night” bonuses in the UFC), where he excels is in the wrestling section. The Dagestani grappler could easily end up controlling the struggle if the majority is spent at the clinch or on the mat.
The only kryptonite that I watch for Akhmedov is his gas tank. Will he strike a cardio wall just like he did in consecutive knockout losses to Sergio Moraes and Elizeu Zaleski? In both of these losses, Akhmedov started strong but faded badly in the later rounds.
He followed those losses with two hard-working decision wins over Kyle Noke and Abdul Razak Alhassan, the latter an upset at UFC Fight Night 109. At the moment I’m leaning towards”The Wolverine’s” hard hands and wrestling acumen for another possibly rewarding upset.

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